In the context of workers compensation premiums, what does expected loss experience refer to?

Expected loss experience refers to the anticipated costs associated with claims based on past data and trends. This concept is vital for insurers when calculating premiums because it helps them understand the risk associated with a specific employer's workforce.

In this context, using industry average claims enables insurers to project what they can expect in terms of losses for a particular business within that industry. This means looking at generalized data, which provides a benchmark for the insurer to gauge expected performance. By analyzing the claims history and loss ratios of businesses within a similar category, insurers can better predict future claims and trend patterns, which ultimately informs the setting of premiums.

Other concepts such as projected injuries within the industry or company-specific historical data could be too localized or not comprehensive enough for a broad application in premium calculations. While previous years’ total claims might seem relevant, they do not necessarily provide the average claim needed for comparing across the industry effectively. Thus, industry average claims is a more holistic view that supports the actuarial processes of determining expected loss experience.